← SGCCC Mortal Ambition season Store Championship
Water Tera MageTier 2
at SGCCC Mortal Ambition season Store Championship
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-5-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
22.7%
avg ELO -15.7 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1153
· median 1153
· range 1125–1181
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1041
Q1 1136
Q3 1379
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -11.9 |
| Wind Exia | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Tera Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
